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Thursday, September 18th, 2008

Ordering viagra without prescription, There has been a loud, justified uproar over the fact that Sarah Palin was invited to speak at a rally of Jewish groups at the UN this Monday, an event prompted by the appearance of Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad at the General Assembly. New Hampshire NH N.H. , The invitation to Palin has been rescinded, but, köpa viagra online, Buy viagra online without prescription, as the Jewish Week put it, "A broad-based community rally urging tougher action against Iran turned into a political hot potato this week as some participants got cold feet over what they saw as the partisan skewing of the event."

While it is disturbing that Palin was invited, North Dakota ND , Viagra prescription, I also have another concern.

What is the point of this rally, ordering viagra pills. Ordering viagra, What, precisely, South Carolina SC S.C. , Order viagra from canada, will it accomplish.

Are the organizers trying to show world leaders that Israel's supporters in the U.S, buy cheap viagra online. are angry and worried about the prospect of a nuclear-armed Iran, ordering viagra without prescription. Rhode Island RI R.I. , Jeez, what a surprise, viagra online kopen. Mississippi MS Miss. , Are they trying to demonstrate that American Jews are deeply offended by some of Ahmadinejad's comments and threats. I think that point has been made very clearly (and loudly, buy viagra cheap, Michigan MI Mich. , and often) over the last few years, don't you, cheap viagra online legally. Køb discount viagra, Is there anyone who follows global issues who does not know that the organized American Jewish community is mortified by the Iranian president, and that much of it wants tougher action on Iran, ordering viagra overnight delivery. Ordering viagra without prescription, One of the self-professed goals of the stop-Iranian-nukes movement is to show that this is not just an Israeli issue. Ordering viagra online cheap, That is a worthy goal. The security of other nations would be threatened if Iran developed nuclear weapons, cheap viagra no rx. Jotta viagra verkossa, I have made that point on this blog, while also expressing concern about the pre-emptive war fetishists who have their sights set on Iran, Køb billige viagra. Arkansas AR Ark. , Diplomacy that includes more carrots and less bellicose public rhetoric is recommended by a good many sensible people. That does not negate the fact that trying to stop Iran from having nuclear-tipped missiles makes sense for the U.S, EU, Russia, Turkey, Jordan and Iran's other neighbors, not just Israel, ordering viagra without prescription.

But it is hard to believe that this message is the one that will be remembered from Monday's rally, pharmacy viagra, Um viagra online, no matter how hard the organizers try to convey it. The Jewish Week notes that "thousands of people are expected to attend and give voice to deep concerns about Iran’s militant threats against Israel." Even if non-Jewish figures speak, even if the notion of a broad global threat gets repeated incessantly, the meta-message here is that American Jews--and a few non-Jews--who are worried about Israel are getting together and screaming at Iran's president, nothing more.

On Monday, rally participants will feel that they are taking a stand that is worth taking, they will be raising their voices because...well, uh, it is important to raise their voices. They will be telling Ahmadinejad that they don't like him because...well, uh...it is important to tell Ahmadinejad that they don't like him. But, especially now that the presidential race has been drawn into it, the rally will turn the entire Iranian issue into an American Jewish-Israeli issue, rather than a matter that should be worrisome to everyone else. That doesn't seem like a productive use of energy, noise and resources.

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Sunday, July 6th, 2008

Comprar viagra baratos, Tom Mitchell sent me the following, cogent analysis of Iran's nuclear weapons program --assuming it exists. I would very much like to believe that what he writes is true. The money quote:

"For understandable historical reasons, köpa viagra online, Israelis take any threats made against them literally. Cheap viagra, They should keep in mind that Mao spoke with the same reckless abandon that Ahmadinejad does about war. Yet Mao’s China, after testing nuclear weapons in 1964, viagra pharmacy, let the potential go largely undeveloped with a few nuclear bombers hidden away in caves to deter the Soviets from about 15 years. It was the more pragmatic Deng who developed China’s nuclear capacity in the 1980s, comprar viagra baratos. Buy generic viagra, Iran’s mullahs have profited well from the revolution by their appropriation of properties and their control over trade licenses. Would they really want to risk this comfortable arrangement in a nuclear war for the pleasure of knowing that they had damaged Israel for twenty minutes before they are wiped out?"

That assumes, of course, købe viagra, that we are dealing with rational actors in Iran, Viagra kopen, or at least it diminishes the possible role of irrationality in foreign policy. Isn't that assumption a gigantic leap of faith.

I have met a former CIA analyst who monitored Iran's weapons systems in, farmacia viagra baratos, I think, Kjøpe viagra online, the early 1990s. Comprar viagra baratos, He might be one of the 50 people in the world with enough information about Iran to be credible. He said that other Iranian presidents and leaders have also threatened Israel's destruction or at least, as in Ahmadinejad's case, Osta viagra, publicly relished the possibility of Israel's destruction. Indiana IN Ind. , He never took their threats very seriously, considered them to be political posturing...until recently. This time, Georgia GA Ga. , with this president, Cheap viagra, he's not sure. He's not certain that Ahmadinejad, whose imman in Qum apparently believes a major war will pave the way for the appearance of the 'hidden imman" (the Sh'ite messiah), viagra prices, would be averse to triggering a catastrophe. And those who say this president has no power might be right, but his following is with the Revolutionary Guards, and there is no telling what they are capable of, or where they will fit into the Iranian power structure next month or next year or ten years from now.., comprar viagra baratos. Order viagra no rx, Again, I am not one of those 50 people with enough knowledge to venture more than an educated guess about Iran...But what if this guy is correct.

Here is Tom's piece in its entirety, New Jersey NJ N.J. .

IRANIAN NUCLEAR POLICY AND MOTIVES

Before we should contemplate any action against Iran over its nuclear policy we should attempt to ascertain its motives. Ordering viagra from canada, I see how the following possible motives for the development of nuclear weapons or a potential for nuclear weapons by Teheran:

1) Iran wants to fulfill its destiny and sacrifice itself in order to destroy the Zionist state. Comprar viagra baratos, This is what most Israelis and their American supporters impute to Tehran based on statements by President Muhammed Ahmedinajad. It should be noted that in Iran the president has little more power than does the Israeli president. The real executive position is held by the unelected Supreme Leader chosen by the pro-regime mullahs, buy viagra cod.

2) Iran fears regime change by the United States as a result of the U.S. Kansas KS Kans. , invasion of Iraq. It figures that a nuclear deterrent in the form of at least one deliverable weapon may make it immune from regime change, comprar viagra baratos.

3) The nuclear weapons program was started as a reaction to the danger from the Iraqi regime of Saddam Hussein and has been maintained as a result of bureaucratic inertia.

4) The nuclear weapons program is seen as a cover to allow Tehran to subvert its neighbors and spread its ideology and influence in the Middle East and Muslim world without fear of regime change, order viagra.

5) Tehran wants to provoke a confrontation from the West—especially the Great Satan in Washington or the Little Satan in Jerusalem—on an issue that it assumes that most of its population will support it on. αγοράζουν online viagra, I would argue that Tehran’s motives are a combination of motives 2 though 5. Comprar viagra baratos, The fact that the only member of the “Axis of Evil” to be attacked by the United States was the weakest regime, the one with the weakest conventional army and little air force or navy and with no nuclear potential, has been noted by Tehran. We negotiate with Pyongyang out of fear and a healthy respect for the power of nuclear weapons rather than out of any respect for its sovereign rights.

The Manhattan Project in the United States was begun out of fear of a non-existent Nazi nuclear weapons program and then the A-bomb was used against Japan after Germany’s surrender, order viagra cod. Tehran’s nuclear effort was actually begun under the Shah with American support. Viagra no prescription, Tehran developed a weapon’s program in reaction to Saddam Hussein’s attack against Iran in September 1980. This occurred partly in reaction to Tehran’s efforts to spread its revolution to Iraq, comprar viagra baratos.

Wherever there are sizeable Shi’ite populations in the Middle East Tehran is active attempting to either subvert the ruling Sunni or Christian (Lebanon) regime or support the Shi’ite regime (Iraq). Tehran views Shi’ite Muslims the way the Bolsheviks viewed industrial workers in Europe in the early 1920s—as potential allies and revolutionaries to spread the revolution, buy viagra from canada.

Iran has the only population of pro-American Muslims in the Middle East. Generic viagra, This must be viewed as both a great insult and frustration and a great danger by the ruling theocracy. Comprar viagra baratos, It needs to find a way of changing the popular opinion of America before the regime is overthrown. Most rulers tend to look at adversaries as mirror images: Western liberals see their opponents as liberals and subversives see their opponents as attempting to subvert them. The fact that the U.S, köpa viagra. partially aligned itself with Iraq in the 1980s Gulf War is seen as justification and proof of the validity of these fears, as are statements by American conservatives and Israelis. The United States has had a policy of regime change in Iran as it had one in Iraq. Thus, there is some validity for these fears, comprar viagra baratos. Plus, revolutionaries by their nature tend to be paranoid, as they fear their opponents doing to them what they accomplished earlier to the ancien regime.

Ordinary Iranians consider themselves as entitled to possess nuclear weapons as Pakistan or India and probably more so than Israel. And as long as Tehran remains ambiguous about its nuclear intentions, it will retain widespread internal and international support for its stand. Any military action by either Israel or the United States against Iran will rally the population around the regime. Comprar viagra baratos, It would also likely cause a split in the West similar to that which occurred in 2003 when the U.S. invaded Iraq. Tehran may be looking to split Washington from Europe or Israel from the U.S.

The best thing to do is to continue to operate multilaterally with Europe while gradually ramping up sanctions. Sanctions can be seen as aggressive but not an act of war—they may cause many Iranians to rethink their stance on nuclear power.

For understandable historical reasons, Israelis take any threats made against them literally, comprar viagra baratos. They should keep in mind that Mao spoke with the same reckless abandon that Ahmadinejad does about war. Yet Mao’s China, after testing nuclear weapons in 1964, let the potential go largely undeveloped with a few nuclear bombers hidden away in caves to deter the Soviets from about 15 years. It was the more pragmatic Deng who developed China’s nuclear capacity in the 1980s. Iran’s mullahs have profited well from the revolution by their appropriation of properties and their control over trade licenses. Comprar viagra baratos, Would they really want to risk this comfortable arrangement in a nuclear war for the pleasure of knowing that they had damaged Israel for twenty minutes before they are wiped out.

So, Israel, if it has not already done so, should develop a secure second-strike capability through the development of nuclear-armed submarine launched cruise missiles. If Washington wants to help Israel, this is how it can help. Israel can then live with the same threat that the West lived with for some forty years during the Cold War.

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Wednesday, December 12th, 2007

Cheap viagra, At a luncheon panel on Israel and Iran at the Century Foundation yesterday, I was taken aback by some thoughts shared by Trita Parsi, author of the new and highly regarded Dangerous Alliance -The Secret Dealings of Israel, Iran and the United States, and Daniel Levy, the former Israeli negotiator who is now Director of the Foundation's Prospects for Peace Initiative, among other things. Stay with this and you might surprised, too:

Parsi said the rhetoric of Yitzhak Rabin and the Labor Party during the Oslo years inflamed Israeli-Iranian tensions and helped to usher both countries along the path of confrontation, buy viagra online cheap. One of Rabin's principal explanations and justifications for the peace process, Halvalla viagra apteekki, of course, was that peace with Israel's immediate neighbors, including the Palestinians, order viagra online legally, would help to protect it from far more dangerous threats on the periphery, Generic viagra, notably Iraq and Iran. The idea was that progress towards solving the Palestinian problem would make it easier for relatively moderate Arab and Persian Gulf states to help Israel, because it would give the leaders of those states more political cover to act as a buffer against Iran or Iraq, buy generic viagra, and either openly or tacetly ally themselves with Israel. Acheter en ligne viagra, Levy, in turn, said Rabin's rhetoric was mainly a function of domestic politics, District of Columbia DC D.C. , a tool used to sell the Oslo process to the Israelis.

I used to make the same argument just about every time I tried to sell the Oslo process to American Jewish audiences or ghostwrote op-eds for dovish American Jewish and Israeli leaders, cheap viagra. Buy viagra online legally, In 1998, I created an ad for Israel Policy Forum that appeared in the corner of the New York Times op-ed page. There was a photo of a nuclear-tipped missile, Colorado CO Colo. . The headline read something like "The U.S. New Hampshire NH N.H. , and Israel are trying to develop a new anti-ballistic missile system. Cheap viagra, It's called peace." The copy was a reprise of Rabin's periphery theory, and it was all about the dire threats that Iraq and Iran posed to Israel and the U.S. People told me it was pretty clever.

I still think the argument is sound, købe viagra online. But, Buy viagra without prescription, if I understood Parsi correctly, calling Iran an arch enemy and hammering away at the idea that it was an existential threat to Israel only served to alarm and anger Iran's ruling elite. It was among the many factors that helped to encourage Iranian weapons development, kjøpe billig viagra. Ouch, I thought, cheap viagra. Did I, Bestill viagra online, a very very tiny cog in the pro-peace machine, do that.

In the Q&A, viagra prices, I remarked that they had given a frightening illustration of the law of unintended consequences. Oklahoma OK Okla. , I mentioned another: when it was time for Rabin to sell the Oslo process in the U.S., one of his first moves was to try to get AIPAC off his back. So he gave them the Iran portfolio, viagra no prescription, which they eagerly embraced, Ordering viagra no rx, to put it mildly. Cheap viagra, They were actively involved in drafting and pushing the Iran-Libya Sanctions Act and, in a variety of ways, have helped to escalate the tensions that exist today. Mearsheimer and Walt were wrong about the role of AIPAC in the Iraq War, Parsi told me before lunch, buy viagra, but, αγοράσετε viagra, by and large, they were right about AIPAC and America's Iran policies. Had there been no Oslo process, købe viagra, perhaps AIPAC would not have poured as much energy into their Iran-related shenanigans. Order viagra no prescription, My question to the panelists was related to another, possible producer of unintended consequences: America's own "periphery theory," as articulated by the Baker-Hamilton Commission and many other reasonable people, cheapest viagra in the world. The Baker-Hamilton gang -like Dan Fleshler- has asserted that getting more engaged in pushing for peace between Israelis and Palestinians will help America deal with Iran and the mess in Iraq. It would do so by making it easier to establish a coalition of moderate Sunni states, cheap viagra. Buy viagra without prescription, But would an energized peace process also ratchet up tensions with Iran and somehow add fuel to the smoldering fire. (My actual question was less articulate).

Neither answered the question --one of many that were posed to them-- directly, Arkansas AR Ark. . But Daniel did say that, of course, certain players had a vested interest in disrupting an Israeli-Palestinian peace process, and he included Iran on the list. Cheap viagra, So I was left to my own devices, which are not adequate to this task. I will make a shocking confession that will distinguish me from just about every other pontificater on the Middle East in the blogosphere: I don't know enough about Iran to predict the consequences of any action, any diplomatic proposals, anything.

No one who spoke yesterday implied that the U.S. should hesitate to encourage the enduring peace settlement that Israelis and Palestinians clearly and desparately need. Of course it should. Parsi and Levy clearly endorse that as ardently as I do. But they remind us that when we make even a small step in a certain direction in the Middle East, we are playing with forces that could have unexpected effects, with objects that may well collide with each other in unforseen ways.

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Tuesday, September 25th, 2007

Cheapest viagra, On the ADL web site, there is a section called “No Nuclear Iran.” The slogan is ‘Get informed. Get active.” One page is entitled "AHMADINEJAD: IN HIS OWN WORDS.” It provides some of his most “virulent statements” about the Holocaust, Israel, price of viagra, etc. Halvalla viagra apteekki, etc. And they are pretty horrific, disgusting statements, buy viagra, indeed. παραγγείλετε online viagra, Like other Jewish groups, the ADL insists that the man cannot be ignored. It wants to expose him and show why he is wrong and dangerous, cheapest viagra. That is why, Delaware DE Del. , on Sept, αγοράσετε viagra, 5th, it announced:

Over the next few weeks and months, the Anti-Defamation League will roll out a public awareness and advocacy campaign aimed at focusing attention on the gathering threat of a nuclear-armed Iran to Israel, billig viagra apotek, the Middle East and the world

With the slogan, Order viagra no rx, "No Nuclear Iran," the campaign focuses on Iran's clear and present threat to Israel, America and the global community through high-profile eye-catching posters, Georgia GA Ga. , advertisements in national and community newspapers, Illinois IL Ill. , and other awareness initiatives using e-mail and the Internet to spread the word.

Isn’t that precisely what Columbia University President Lee Bollinger tried to do yesterday, when he harshly criticized Ahmadinejad just before the Iranian President delivered a speech at Morningside Heights. Wasn’t that an "awareness initiative?” And since the denunciations came from a university president, Kentucky KY Ky. , in a confrontation that was broadcast all over the world, αγοράζουν φτηνά viagra, didn't they have more credibility and impact than arguments made by American Jewish activists, i.e., the usual suspects, discount viagra.

In the last few days, Köpa billiga viagra, thanks to harsh denunciations of Bollinger by Abe Foxman, other Jewish leaders and a bevy of politicians, the international media were focused primarily on arguments over whether Columbia should have invited the Iranian President, Massachusetts MA Mass. . Those arguments just mitigated the impact of arguments against Ahmadinejad's message. Cheapest viagra, What should have been a story about a brutal dictator became a story about free speech. Buy viagra no rx, In today’s USA Today, Foxman wrote, “Columbia should have taken a stand that some ideas are simply not acceptable.”

But if they are not acceptable enough to be presented at Columbia, buy viagra online, why are they acceptable enough to appear on ADL’s web site, Hawaii HI , where there is a page of quotes without any refutation of any kind.

As Richard Silverstein put it:

Ahmadinejad isn't David Duke or Lyndon LeRouche–he's the president of one of the most important Muslim nations in the world which currently is in danger of embroiling the world in conflict. Hearing him speak and telling him what we think of his ideas as Bollinger will do does nothing to "legitimize" those ideas, viagra sale. Who in the Columbia audience will be persuaded that a nuclear Iran is a good thing??

Philip Weiss makes a similar argument. Even the New York Sun, a harsh critic of just about everything Islamic, praised the Columbia Pres, cheapest viagra. Acheter en ligne viagra, today, calling the event a "teaching moment":

…By our lights Bollinger did pretty darned well. It may have been a mistake to welcome the Iranian demagogue to campus in the first place, ostaa halvalla viagra, but it will be a long time before any figure, Cheap viagra overnight delivery, here or abroad, gives such an eloquent rebuke to Mr. Ahmadinejad's face, Wyoming WY Wyo. .

…Mr. Cheapest viagra, Bollinger spoke to some of the elements in which Jewish particularity is engaged, asserting that Columbia has become a "world center of Jewish studies" and, in partnership with the YIVO Institute, of studies of the Holocaust, which Mr. Billige viagra Apotheke, Bollinger called "the most documented event in human history." He spoke directly, as well, to Iran's assertion that Israel should be "wiped off the map, order viagra without prescription," and noted that Columbia has more than 800 alumni living in the Jewish state. He noted that more than 400 college presidents have joined in his call against the proposed boycott of Israeli scholars and universities. "Do you plan on wiping us off the map, too?" Mr. Bollinger asked. He then addressed Iran's state sponsorship of terror, funding such groups as Hezbollah in Lebanon and Hamas in Gaza and the Palestinian Islamic Jihad.

Sounds like a very affective "awareness initiative” to me. When Philip Weiss, Richard Silverstein and the NY Sun agree on something, it is probably correct. The ADL should put the Bollinger-Ahmadinejad confrontation on its web site.

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