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Comprar viagra baratos, Tom Mitchell sent me the following, cogent analysis of Iran's nuclear weapons program --assuming it exists. I would very much like to believe that what he writes is true. The money quote:

"For understandable historical reasons, köpa viagra online, Israelis take any threats made against them literally. Cheap viagra, They should keep in mind that Mao spoke with the same reckless abandon that Ahmadinejad does about war. Yet Mao’s China, after testing nuclear weapons in 1964, viagra pharmacy, let the potential go largely undeveloped with a few nuclear bombers hidden away in caves to deter the Soviets from about 15 years. It was the more pragmatic Deng who developed China’s nuclear capacity in the 1980s, comprar viagra baratos. Buy generic viagra, Iran’s mullahs have profited well from the revolution by their appropriation of properties and their control over trade licenses. Would they really want to risk this comfortable arrangement in a nuclear war for the pleasure of knowing that they had damaged Israel for twenty minutes before they are wiped out?"

That assumes, of course, købe viagra, that we are dealing with rational actors in Iran, Viagra kopen, or at least it diminishes the possible role of irrationality in foreign policy. Isn't that assumption a gigantic leap of faith.

I have met a former CIA analyst who monitored Iran's weapons systems in, farmacia viagra baratos, I think, Kjøpe viagra online, the early 1990s. Comprar viagra baratos, He might be one of the 50 people in the world with enough information about Iran to be credible. He said that other Iranian presidents and leaders have also threatened Israel's destruction or at least, as in Ahmadinejad's case, Osta viagra, publicly relished the possibility of Israel's destruction. Indiana IN Ind. , He never took their threats very seriously, considered them to be political posturing...until recently. This time, Georgia GA Ga. , with this president, Cheap viagra, he's not sure. He's not certain that Ahmadinejad, whose imman in Qum apparently believes a major war will pave the way for the appearance of the 'hidden imman" (the Sh'ite messiah), viagra prices, would be averse to triggering a catastrophe. And those who say this president has no power might be right, but his following is with the Revolutionary Guards, and there is no telling what they are capable of, or where they will fit into the Iranian power structure next month or next year or ten years from now.., comprar viagra baratos. Order viagra no rx, Again, I am not one of those 50 people with enough knowledge to venture more than an educated guess about Iran...But what if this guy is correct.

Here is Tom's piece in its entirety, New Jersey NJ N.J. .

IRANIAN NUCLEAR POLICY AND MOTIVES

Before we should contemplate any action against Iran over its nuclear policy we should attempt to ascertain its motives. Ordering viagra from canada, I see how the following possible motives for the development of nuclear weapons or a potential for nuclear weapons by Teheran:

1) Iran wants to fulfill its destiny and sacrifice itself in order to destroy the Zionist state. Comprar viagra baratos, This is what most Israelis and their American supporters impute to Tehran based on statements by President Muhammed Ahmedinajad. It should be noted that in Iran the president has little more power than does the Israeli president. The real executive position is held by the unelected Supreme Leader chosen by the pro-regime mullahs, buy viagra cod.

2) Iran fears regime change by the United States as a result of the U.S. Kansas KS Kans. , invasion of Iraq. It figures that a nuclear deterrent in the form of at least one deliverable weapon may make it immune from regime change, comprar viagra baratos.

3) The nuclear weapons program was started as a reaction to the danger from the Iraqi regime of Saddam Hussein and has been maintained as a result of bureaucratic inertia.

4) The nuclear weapons program is seen as a cover to allow Tehran to subvert its neighbors and spread its ideology and influence in the Middle East and Muslim world without fear of regime change, order viagra.

5) Tehran wants to provoke a confrontation from the West—especially the Great Satan in Washington or the Little Satan in Jerusalem—on an issue that it assumes that most of its population will support it on. αγοράζουν online viagra, I would argue that Tehran’s motives are a combination of motives 2 though 5. Comprar viagra baratos, The fact that the only member of the “Axis of Evil” to be attacked by the United States was the weakest regime, the one with the weakest conventional army and little air force or navy and with no nuclear potential, has been noted by Tehran. We negotiate with Pyongyang out of fear and a healthy respect for the power of nuclear weapons rather than out of any respect for its sovereign rights.

The Manhattan Project in the United States was begun out of fear of a non-existent Nazi nuclear weapons program and then the A-bomb was used against Japan after Germany’s surrender, order viagra cod. Tehran’s nuclear effort was actually begun under the Shah with American support. Viagra no prescription, Tehran developed a weapon’s program in reaction to Saddam Hussein’s attack against Iran in September 1980. This occurred partly in reaction to Tehran’s efforts to spread its revolution to Iraq, comprar viagra baratos.

Wherever there are sizeable Shi’ite populations in the Middle East Tehran is active attempting to either subvert the ruling Sunni or Christian (Lebanon) regime or support the Shi’ite regime (Iraq). Tehran views Shi’ite Muslims the way the Bolsheviks viewed industrial workers in Europe in the early 1920s—as potential allies and revolutionaries to spread the revolution, buy viagra from canada.

Iran has the only population of pro-American Muslims in the Middle East. Generic viagra, This must be viewed as both a great insult and frustration and a great danger by the ruling theocracy. Comprar viagra baratos, It needs to find a way of changing the popular opinion of America before the regime is overthrown. Most rulers tend to look at adversaries as mirror images: Western liberals see their opponents as liberals and subversives see their opponents as attempting to subvert them. The fact that the U.S, köpa viagra. partially aligned itself with Iraq in the 1980s Gulf War is seen as justification and proof of the validity of these fears, as are statements by American conservatives and Israelis. The United States has had a policy of regime change in Iran as it had one in Iraq. Thus, there is some validity for these fears, comprar viagra baratos. Plus, revolutionaries by their nature tend to be paranoid, as they fear their opponents doing to them what they accomplished earlier to the ancien regime.

Ordinary Iranians consider themselves as entitled to possess nuclear weapons as Pakistan or India and probably more so than Israel. And as long as Tehran remains ambiguous about its nuclear intentions, it will retain widespread internal and international support for its stand. Any military action by either Israel or the United States against Iran will rally the population around the regime. Comprar viagra baratos, It would also likely cause a split in the West similar to that which occurred in 2003 when the U.S. invaded Iraq. Tehran may be looking to split Washington from Europe or Israel from the U.S.

The best thing to do is to continue to operate multilaterally with Europe while gradually ramping up sanctions. Sanctions can be seen as aggressive but not an act of war—they may cause many Iranians to rethink their stance on nuclear power.

For understandable historical reasons, Israelis take any threats made against them literally, comprar viagra baratos. They should keep in mind that Mao spoke with the same reckless abandon that Ahmadinejad does about war. Yet Mao’s China, after testing nuclear weapons in 1964, let the potential go largely undeveloped with a few nuclear bombers hidden away in caves to deter the Soviets from about 15 years. It was the more pragmatic Deng who developed China’s nuclear capacity in the 1980s. Iran’s mullahs have profited well from the revolution by their appropriation of properties and their control over trade licenses. Comprar viagra baratos, Would they really want to risk this comfortable arrangement in a nuclear war for the pleasure of knowing that they had damaged Israel for twenty minutes before they are wiped out.

So, Israel, if it has not already done so, should develop a secure second-strike capability through the development of nuclear-armed submarine launched cruise missiles. If Washington wants to help Israel, this is how it can help. Israel can then live with the same threat that the West lived with for some forty years during the Cold War.

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Thursday, June 26th, 2008

Buy viagra over the counter, The plot thickens. Politico's John Bresnahan reports that:

Reps, kjøpe viagra. Buy viagra online legally, Gary Ackerman (D-N.Y.) and Mike Pence (R-Ind.) have issued a letter today stating that a non-binding resolution they offered on Iran does not call for a military action against that country...

...While the resolution (I repeat, buy viagra without prescription, Buy viagra online, non-binding) also includes a specific denial that it authorizes use of American military force - "Whereas nothing in this resolution shall be construed as an authorization of the use of force against Iran" - it has, understandably, ordering viagra online without prescription, Cheap viagra tablets, led some to believe that it is tantamount to a declaration of war against Iran.

"These assertions are absolutely false and, comprare viagra, Ordering viagra online, frankly, utter nonsense, Alaska AK , αγοράσετε viagra έκπτωση, " Ackerman and Spence wrote. "The resolution states plainly and distinctly that "nothing in this resolution shall be construed as an authorization of the use of force against Iran;" the economic sanctions the President is urged to seek are explicitly placed in an international context; and the methods contemplated for achieving these sanctions are no different than those currently being employed to implement existing UN Security Council sanctions on Iran, namely enforcement of export controls by UN member states within their own borders."

What to make of this, buy viagra over the counter. I have no ax to grind or premise to prove here, viagra prescription. Buy viagra no prescription, That is the nature of this blog; I annoy everyone across the political spectrum, at one time or another, ordering viagra no prescription. Maryland MD Md. , So I would like someone who is convinced that this resolution calls for a blockade to explain why, if these Reps wanted such a thing, order viagra overnight delivery, Cheap viagra no prescription, they would go out of their way to deny it.

The resolution doesn't have any legal standing; it's just a forceful message, viagra without prescription, Comprar en línea viagra, encouraged by AIPAC. Buy viagra over the counter, It is easier for Member of Congress to be more hawkish in non-binding resolutions than they would otherwise be in bills that have the force of law; the former documents are generally more convenient vehicles for political grandstanding. So, South Carolina SC S.C. , Ordering viagra no rx, it would seem to me that if they wanted to convince voters they were super-tough, they would have no reason to deny that they were calling for a blockade, order viagra pills. Cheap viagra online without prescription, Are they reassuring constituents who are nervous about war-mongering. If so, billiga viagra apotek, Kentucky KY Ky. , isn't that good news. Or, Missouri MO Mo. , am I being spun by some kind of nefarious, manipulative "War Party" in ways I am too naive to grasp. If so, how.

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Tuesday, June 24th, 2008

Here is a bit of sanity and reason from Trita Parsi Viagra pills, . It has been excerpted here and there, but the only way to do it justice is to cut and paste the entire piece from Foreign Policy.

As I've noted before, viagra farmacia a buon mercato, there are perhaps 50 people in the world who have a sufficiently detailed understanding of Iranian politics and its nuclear development program to provide recommendations that are worth considering. I am not one of them. Illinois IL Ill. , Neither, apparently, is anyone in the Bush Administration. Parsi is, viagra pills.

Mismarriage of Convenience

Analysis by Trita Parsi

Iran and Israel are stuck in a dysfunctional relationship that neither party can escape on its own, billige viagra apotek. Here’s how to break up their fight.

------------------------------------
Last week, Florida FL Fla. , the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC)—the powerful pro-Israel lobbying group—held its annual policy conference in Washington, and it went as you might expect. Republican presidential candidate Sen. Viagra pills, John McCain roused the faithful with a call to tighten the noose on Iran and mocked those who favor a more diplomatic approach. U.S, Nebraska NE Nebr. . Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice explained that negotiating with Iranian leaders would be pointless “while they continue to inch closer to a nuclear weapon under the cover of talk.” Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert called for “all possible means” to be used to stop Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon. A few days later, Buy viagra overnight delivery, Israel’s Transportation Minister Shaul Mofaz warned that an attack on Iran is “unavoidable” as long as Tehran “continues with its program for developing nuclear weapons.”

As if to underscore these arguments, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad obligingly played the role of villain, predicting ominously from Tehran that Israel will “soon disappear off the geographical scene.” Against this backdrop, it’s safe to say that few at AIPAC were convinced by newly minted Democratic presidential nominee Barack Obama’s call for direct U.S, ordering viagra without prescription. talks with Iran (though the Illinois senator did win many new friends at the conference this year). In fact, AIPAC and Israeli leaders fear that any bargain between Washington and Tehran would come at their expense and have heightened their rhetoric accordingly, viagra pills.

It doesn’t have to be this way. Order viagra c.o.d., Although Iran and Israel will not be signing any mutual defense pacts anytime soon, the two countries aren’t destined to be implacable foes. If anything, Israel could be a prime beneficiary of a rapprochement between Washington and Tehran, kjøpe billig viagra.

It might sound inconceivable that Iran, whose leaders since 1979 have used the most venomous rhetoric against the “little Satan, Minnesota MN Minn. , ” would ever moderate its stance toward Israel. Viagra pills, Yet a careful review of the past three decades shows that Iran’s hostile rhetoric is more a product of opportunism than fanaticism. Iran and Israel have even been willing to work together quietly at times, despite their conflicting ideologies.

The reason is simple: When forced to choose, Vermont VT Vt. , Tehran invariably chooses its geostrategic interests over its ideological impulses. In no other area is the decisiveness of the strategic dimension of Iran’s foreign policy clearer than when it comes to Israel. Viagra without a prescription, When these two pillars of Iranian foreign policy have clashed, as they did in the 1980s during the Iran-Iraq war, Iran’s geostrategic concerns have consistently prevailed. Tehran quietly sought Israel’s aid, and the Jewish state made many efforts to place Iran and the United States back on speaking terms, viagra pills. Faced with an invading Iraqi army and finding its U.S.-built weaponry starved of spare parts by a U.S, District of Columbia DC D.C. . embargo, Tehran was in desperate need of help from Israel. Louisiana LA , Israel, in turn, was more than eager to avoid an Iraqi victory and to restore the traditional Israeli-Iranian clandestine security cooperation established under the shah, the mullahs’ fierce anti-Israeli rhetoric notwithstanding, order viagra online.

Iran never discarded its Islamic and anti-Israeli ideology, but for years it did refrain from translating that ideology into operational policy. Viagra pills, It has been only for the past 15 years, for example, that Iran has come to play such a spoiler role in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. New York NY N.Y. , Why now. Today, the ideological and strategic currents of Iran’s foreign policy are aligned, and the results are visible in every corner of the region: a surging Hezbollah in Lebanon, buy viagra c.o.d., a more deeply entrenched Hamas in the Palestinian territories, a radicalizing Shiite population in Iraq. Acheter viagra, Quelling these potential threats requires understanding why Iran behaves the way it does. On a strategic level, Iran opposes Israel because it perceives the Jewish state as seeking its exclusion from regional affairs. Iran thinks Israel is working assiduously to counter its interests, whether in Washington or Ashgabat, viagra pills. Israel is seen as a major obstacle in initiating a U.S.-Iran dialogue and has played a critical role in putting Iran’s nuclear program atop the international agenda, South Dakota SD . Even Ahmadinejad’s highly ideological broadsides against Israel have come to have a strategic purpose. Playing the anti-Israeli card helps Iran overcome the Persian-Arab and Shiite-Sunni divide, Buy viagra, Tehran reasons. Harsh rhetoric against Israel goes down well with the Arab street, increasing tensions between Arab governments and their publics, which in turn prevents the Arabs from signing up with Tel Aviv against Tehran, New Mexico NM N.Mex. . Viagra pills, The key to eliminating the danger Iran could pose to Israel lies in arranging these two forces of Iranian foreign policy—strategic interest and ideology—to counter each other once again. Threats of war and sanctions cannot achieve this end, however. Köpa rabatterade viagra, Only through a larger accommodation—Iranian political rehabilitation in the region in return for an end to destructive Iranian behavior—will Iran let go of its open hostility toward the Jewish state. Brought in from the cold, Tehran’s cost-benefit analysis would change dramatically. The Islamic Republic would be careful not to undermine its own geopolitical status with ideology-driven anti-Israeli and anti-American behavior, cheap generic viagra.

This is not a new formula, nor is it untested, viagra pills. China refuses to discard its communist pretense, but global integration has made it loath to put communist economic principles into practice due to the devastating impact it would have on its economic interests. Cheap viagra online, But why would Iran seek serious negotiations now, opponents of diplomacy might ask, when it appears to be having its way in the Middle East. Because the Iranians are eager to consolidate their gains through talks with the next U.S, Arizona AZ Ariz. . administration and win American recognition for their role in the region. Viagra pills, Those who would reject dialogue cannot have it both ways. They can’t argue that Washington shouldn’t negotiate because it lacks leverage (which isn’t true—for one, only the United States can lift its sanctions and support Iran’s inclusion in a new regional security architecture) and simultaneously claim that Tehran prefers the status quo and isn’t interested in talks precisely because Iran does have leverage.

In reality, the United States need not pressure Iran to come to the negotiation table; it need only demonstrate that it is serious about reaching a strategic understanding. What will induce Tehran to play ball is not a threat, but the promise of achieving a legitimate regional role without surrendering its pride. For Israel, that could be a good thing. A tamed Iran—integrated into the region’s political and economic structures and the forces of globalization—is much less dangerous than an angry and isolated Iran that defends its interests by fanning the flames of anti-Israeli extremism in the region. That’s a concept supporters of Israel and AIPAC should find useful.

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Thursday, June 12th, 2008

Buy viagra pills, I have read even more drivel than usual about AIPAC in the blogosphere these days, and thought I would explain a few things to those who have never attended an AIPAC Policy Conference.

First of all, AIPAC does not appear to be trying to prod the U.S. to bomb Iran. Rabatt kaufen viagra, If it is, I have not seen any credible evidence, just a lot of inferential yammering by those whose stock-in-trade is to promote the notion that the so-called “Lobby” is a bunch of bellicose fifth columnists.

Here, for example, buy viagra online without prescription, is Justin Raimondo, an articulate libertarian whose Antiwar.com is an increasingly popular source for all things anti-Israel and anti-AIPAC: "Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert's visit to the U.S. is part of a concerted effort, by the Israeli government and its American lobbyists, to convince U.S, buy viagra pills. lawmakers – and, αγοράσετε viagra έκπτωση, most of all, President George W. Bush – that the time to attack Iran is now."

At last week's Policy Conference, attendees got a distinctly different impression. Sure, Florida FL Fla. , there was obligatory tough talk about the perils of a nuclearized Iran. Sure, anyone who asserted or hinted that the military option should remain on the table could count on applause in the small seminars and the large plenary sessions. Buy viagra pills, Of course the notion of unconditional dialogue with Iran was an object of scorn. Michigan MI Mich. , And, yes, the action agenda pushed for tightened sanctions against Iran. AIPAC called for its grassroots troops to descend on Congress and urge passage of the Iran Counterproliferation Act in the Senate, and to promote a slightly tougher, New Jersey NJ N.J. , non-binding resolution from Reps. Gary Ackerman and Mike Pence. But, Cheapest viagra, as described by Ron Kampeas of JTA, one of the smartest reporters in Washington:

The language of the [Ackerman-Pence] resolution is sensitive to the political realities of a presidential campaign that has made the possibility of war against Iran a partisan issue: It explicitly counts out military action -- a point hammered home in the AIPAC talking points.

"The resolution specifically states that nothing in the resolution shall be construed to be an authorization for military action," the sheet says, buy viagra pills. "In fact, the sanctions called for in H. Con, ordering viagra no rx. Res. 362 are the best way to prevent Iran from acquiring a nuclear capability by avoiding military action."

Additionally, the action part of the resolution opens by declaring "that preventing Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapons capability, Maine ME Me. , through all appropriate economic, political, and diplomatic means is vital to the national security interests of the United States and must be dealt with urgently."

Notably absent from AIPAC's talking points is any mention of military force -- a prospect that spooks Democrats and would discomfit an organization that prides itself on its bipartisanship. [emphasiis added by DF]

Kampeas is spot on. Buy viagra pills, I suspect a large part of the membership would have been upset by overt war-mongering. I know this is a rather inconvenient truth. Painting the AIPACers with a broad brush as a dangerous, buy viagra, evil band of Likud supporters and war-hungry "neocons” makes it much easier for those who oppose the group to mobilize, and to write angry op-eds and blog posts filled with reckless generalizations that ignore complex, institutional truths. Comprar viagra baratos, Mea culpa: I've written a few of those myself.

Dismissing AIPAC as nothing but a support group or cheering section for Dick Cheney and Richard Perle feeds the hunger of those on the far left and far right for a bogeyman, an organization that can serve, along with Israel itself, as a kind of totemic hate object, buy viagra online, a repository of all that is wrong. I am trying to write a book about the conventional Israel lobby and my task would be much easier if AIPAC could be summed up so glibly, buy viagra pills. But I’m afraid it can’t.

The inconvenient truth is that many of its members and board members are centrist Democrats; they are politically moderate, Cheap viagra online without prescription, at least by American standards. They want the U.S. to keep Israel strong by giving it a qualitative military edge because they believe Israel's neighbors still want to destroy it. Buy viagra pills, They are deeply worried about Iran and the dangers they believe it poses to Israel and to the U.S., especially to American troops in Iraq, But they are not irresponsibly trigger happy. Even Philip Weiss, a hero of the cabal-watchers, viagra generic, was initially a bit perplexed when, in the first policy conference he attended, he found himself rubbing shoulders with attendees and listening to speakers who were moderate, Kaufen viagra, temperate and as desirious of peace as he is (although they don't care as much about Palestinian suffering or Palestinian rights as he does).

My friend and fellow Ameinu board member Judy Gelman, described the AIPACers in an email to the organization's leadership:

Who goes to AIPAC. This year's conference had over 7500 participants, about 1200 of who were students, cheapest viagra online. The attendees also included many large congregational groups. I don't know how many rabbis brought congregants but 4 rabbis were acknowledged as having brought more than 100 congregants with them, buy viagra pills. Two of these congregants were large Conservative shuls from LA, one of which (Valley Beth Shalom) had over 200 participants (the other was Sinai Temple). Acheter en ligne viagra, Stephen Wise Synagogue from NY (also Conservative) was one of the others. So the participants at the Policy Conference are not a group of wild-eyed reactionaries. Kippot are rare and tzitzit almost completely absent. Buy viagra pills, It is pretty much the people you would be sitting next to at Holy Holidays at a Conservative shul. Like most Jews, these are largely Democrats--not the most liberal Democrats, Iowa IA , but still Democrats and mostly from NY, CA, Chicago, North Carolina NC N.C. , Philly, Southern Florida, but also from the smaller Jewish communities like Tulsa, Salt Lake City and Orlando. From these smaller communities, viagra cheap, it is not uncommon for AIPAC activists to overlap heavily with the Federation and local congregational leadership. AIPAC gives these people (mostly people of considerable wealth) a way to connect to Israel politically, and also to connect with their local politicians on behalf of Israel. Order viagra online cheap, What AIPAC "sells" them is a way to be informed about Israel and a way to be involved for Israel.

She's right, buy viagra pills. Most of them are not "neocons." They are just very worried about Israel. They come to these conferences expecting guidance and instruction about how they --and America-- can help to keep it safe. It's not much more complicated than that. What's more, order viagra from canada, although they were urged to suppress partisan poltical instincts, many of them cheered for Obama not only because they were glad he expressed support for Israel; they also cheered for him because they were Democrats and, like the rest of us, Om viagra online, want an end to the Republican reign of error. Buy viagra pills, Of course, there are also vocal, irrepressible militarists in that organization. In a speech to the plenary on Monday night, Executive Director Howard Kohr gave, I think, some clues about the pressures on him from that wing of AIPAC, købe viagra online. After rattling off the many dangers posed by Iran and the need to sanction it, he said:

Now, I have spoken to you and I know you feel a real sense of frustration. Viagra online kaufen, Of impatience. You have asked me, from New York and Los Angeles, what more can we do. You wonder, is there still time for our efforts to work, buy viagra pills.

My friends, I understand your concern.

But I want to make the case to you today that the path of political and economic sanctions is still the best immediate option. There is still time..to persuade Iran through sanctions that its leader cannot vow to wipe Israel off the map. It cannot promise to visit destruction on Israel, and escape the consequences of its actions…My friends, we cannot lose our determination to stay on this path –together we must make it clear that Iran must change its behavior.

Buy viagra pills, He could have gone much further. He could have revved up the crowd to show the attentive world that these American Jews were serious about doing whatever was necessary to take out Iran's nuclear capability. Instead, he urged the AIPACers to trod what was, at least in their Manichean version of reality, a middle path.

I still think they are wrong, these AIPACers, about a good many things. They are wrong to ratchet up tensions with Iran and favor all sticks and no carrots. They have been wrong about Draconian restrictions on aid to the Palestinian Authority and will continue to be wrong in their opposition to evenhanded American diplomacy in the Middle East, buy viagra pills. I still think an alternative political bloc, a lobby for the rest of us that encourages a new American course in the Middle East, is necessary. The stony, uncomfortable silence that greeted Sec. of State Rice when she dared to refer to the "daily humiliations" suffered by Palestinians is reason enough to develop that alternative.

But if we want to change the current, conventional Israel lobby, we need to understand how it actually works and who is in it, not create straw men and straw women.

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Wednesday, December 12th, 2007

Cheap viagra, At a luncheon panel on Israel and Iran at the Century Foundation yesterday, I was taken aback by some thoughts shared by Trita Parsi, author of the new and highly regarded Dangerous Alliance -The Secret Dealings of Israel, Iran and the United States, and Daniel Levy, the former Israeli negotiator who is now Director of the Foundation's Prospects for Peace Initiative, among other things. Stay with this and you might surprised, too:

Parsi said the rhetoric of Yitzhak Rabin and the Labor Party during the Oslo years inflamed Israeli-Iranian tensions and helped to usher both countries along the path of confrontation, buy viagra online cheap. One of Rabin's principal explanations and justifications for the peace process, Halvalla viagra apteekki, of course, was that peace with Israel's immediate neighbors, including the Palestinians, order viagra online legally, would help to protect it from far more dangerous threats on the periphery, Generic viagra, notably Iraq and Iran. The idea was that progress towards solving the Palestinian problem would make it easier for relatively moderate Arab and Persian Gulf states to help Israel, because it would give the leaders of those states more political cover to act as a buffer against Iran or Iraq, buy generic viagra, and either openly or tacetly ally themselves with Israel. Acheter en ligne viagra, Levy, in turn, said Rabin's rhetoric was mainly a function of domestic politics, District of Columbia DC D.C. , a tool used to sell the Oslo process to the Israelis.

I used to make the same argument just about every time I tried to sell the Oslo process to American Jewish audiences or ghostwrote op-eds for dovish American Jewish and Israeli leaders, cheap viagra. Buy viagra online legally, In 1998, I created an ad for Israel Policy Forum that appeared in the corner of the New York Times op-ed page. There was a photo of a nuclear-tipped missile, Colorado CO Colo. . The headline read something like "The U.S. New Hampshire NH N.H. , and Israel are trying to develop a new anti-ballistic missile system. Cheap viagra, It's called peace." The copy was a reprise of Rabin's periphery theory, and it was all about the dire threats that Iraq and Iran posed to Israel and the U.S. People told me it was pretty clever.

I still think the argument is sound, købe viagra online. But, Buy viagra without prescription, if I understood Parsi correctly, calling Iran an arch enemy and hammering away at the idea that it was an existential threat to Israel only served to alarm and anger Iran's ruling elite. It was among the many factors that helped to encourage Iranian weapons development, kjøpe billig viagra. Ouch, I thought, cheap viagra. Did I, Bestill viagra online, a very very tiny cog in the pro-peace machine, do that.

In the Q&A, viagra prices, I remarked that they had given a frightening illustration of the law of unintended consequences. Oklahoma OK Okla. , I mentioned another: when it was time for Rabin to sell the Oslo process in the U.S., one of his first moves was to try to get AIPAC off his back. So he gave them the Iran portfolio, viagra no prescription, which they eagerly embraced, Ordering viagra no rx, to put it mildly. Cheap viagra, They were actively involved in drafting and pushing the Iran-Libya Sanctions Act and, in a variety of ways, have helped to escalate the tensions that exist today. Mearsheimer and Walt were wrong about the role of AIPAC in the Iraq War, Parsi told me before lunch, buy viagra, but, αγοράσετε viagra, by and large, they were right about AIPAC and America's Iran policies. Had there been no Oslo process, købe viagra, perhaps AIPAC would not have poured as much energy into their Iran-related shenanigans. Order viagra no prescription, My question to the panelists was related to another, possible producer of unintended consequences: America's own "periphery theory," as articulated by the Baker-Hamilton Commission and many other reasonable people, cheapest viagra in the world. The Baker-Hamilton gang -like Dan Fleshler- has asserted that getting more engaged in pushing for peace between Israelis and Palestinians will help America deal with Iran and the mess in Iraq. It would do so by making it easier to establish a coalition of moderate Sunni states, cheap viagra. Buy viagra without prescription, But would an energized peace process also ratchet up tensions with Iran and somehow add fuel to the smoldering fire. (My actual question was less articulate).

Neither answered the question --one of many that were posed to them-- directly, Arkansas AR Ark. . But Daniel did say that, of course, certain players had a vested interest in disrupting an Israeli-Palestinian peace process, and he included Iran on the list. Cheap viagra, So I was left to my own devices, which are not adequate to this task. I will make a shocking confession that will distinguish me from just about every other pontificater on the Middle East in the blogosphere: I don't know enough about Iran to predict the consequences of any action, any diplomatic proposals, anything.

No one who spoke yesterday implied that the U.S. should hesitate to encourage the enduring peace settlement that Israelis and Palestinians clearly and desparately need. Of course it should. Parsi and Levy clearly endorse that as ardently as I do. But they remind us that when we make even a small step in a certain direction in the Middle East, we are playing with forces that could have unexpected effects, with objects that may well collide with each other in unforseen ways.

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Thursday, November 8th, 2007

Ordering viagra from mexico, Apologies for the recent lack of blogging activity. Too many work and family obligations, not enough hours in the day.

Last week, Buy viagra online without prescription, there was a dyspeptic attack on Americans for Peace Now by my friend Philip Weiss on his blog, MondoWeiss. (Check it out at http://www.philipweiss.org/mondoweiss/2007/11/foreign-affairs.html). It deserves a belated response.

In taking on a critique of Walt and Mearsheimer by Walter Russell Mead in Foreign Affairs, Weiss cites the following quote from Mead:

If everyone from AIPAC to Americans for Peace Now is part of the lobby, what, exactly, is the political agenda the lobby supports?...What is the relationship between the internal dynamics of this divided lobby and the politics and policies of both Israel and wider American society, ordering viagra from mexico.

"When it comes down to it, comprar en línea viagra, Mearsheimer and Walt do not seem to know who, exactly, belongs to this amoebic, Tennessee TN Tenn. , engulfing blob they call the lobby and who does not. Take their own case. They describe themselves as pro-Israel, in that they believe in the state's right to exist..."

Then Weiss responds:

I myself have faulted Mearsheimer and Walt for not being more precise about the lobby's borders. But how easy is it to be precise in such uncharted territory, order viagra online. Ordering viagra from mexico, It's not. Mead himself makes a fascinating mistake in his indictment. He crows that W&M have included "everyone from AIPAC to Americans for Peace Now". In fact, Connecticut CT Conn. , APN is part of AIPAC. APN is a member of the Conference of Presidents of Major American Jewish Organizations, and all the members of the Conference of Presidents are on the AIPAC executive committee.

This is one of the marvels of the Israel lobby: it is a loose coalition, ordering viagra from mexico. When I learned as much earlier this year, I wondered why APN doesn't resign from AIPAC to protest AIPAC's role in the Iraq war, Rabatt kaufen viagra, or in the Syria Accountability Act, or in defending the settlements, or in supporting the Lebanon War. Purchase viagra, But APN doesn't resign. And no one starts an alternative lobby (and when George Soros notions it, the lobby suggests he was a collaborationist in Hungary during the Holocaust and Soros bows out).

This is modern Jewish history. Ordering viagra from mexico, My sense is that Jewish organizations, fearful for Israel's existence, tend to close rank when it comes to speaking to the U.S. government--and thereby allow the rightwing hardliners to be the court Jews, viagra kopen. This cultural/political/institutional mystery is not fully understood by Walt and Mearsheimer, no, but they have done a wonderful job under the circumstances."

So, Acheter viagra discount, is APN part of the cabal. Is it part of the problem. I'm on the APN Board. Am I part of the problem, ordering viagra from mexico. Weiss' argument echoes familiar accusations from the far left against slightly less radical Dems who attend their Party's convention and try to play a role in the drafting of platforms. The same argument is made against anyone who insists on a seat at the power table and then stays there even when they disagree with most of the people at the table, where to buy viagra. Given this country's disastrous Middle East policies, this is an understandable sentiment.

But, Cheap viagra no prescription, like his heroes Walt and Mearsheimer, Weiss is a relatively young student of the American Jewish community, its organizational structures, and its mechanisms of influence. Ordering viagra from mexico, In this case, he doesn’t have the faintest idea of what he is talking about.

Having a seat in the back of the room in AIPAC has not prevented APN from criticizing Congress or the White House, order viagra online legally, or addressing the White House directly. The reason why APN exists is to ensure that the hardliners whom Weiss glibly calls “court Jews” are NOT the only voices. When the Israeli government expands settlements or refuses to remove settlement outposts or takes other steps that make matters worse, Kjøp Discount viagra, APN speaks out publicly as well privately to the State Dept.

Weiss wants American Jews to rise up and speak out to prevent the Bush Administration from launching a military attack on Iran. So do I, ordering viagra from mexico. APN agrees with me and has publicly broken with much of the American Jewish community by calling for engagement with Iran, with a combination of carrots and sticks. Check out all of APN’s statements over the years, pharmacy viagra. Much of the organization’s work has been devoted to counter-acting ideas and people Weiss does not like. But because it is somehow formally connected with AIPAC, he wants no part of it. Ordering viagra from mexico, This is short-sighted. Alaska AK , Weiss does not understand what AIPAC’s “Executive Board” is. Calling APN a “member” of the Executive Board makes it seem like the group is part of a very important decision-making body. That is not accurate. What follows may seem like a pedantic riff on AIPAC’s structure, but the devil is in these details:

Every group in the 50-member Presidents Conference has a seat on the Executive Board, Maryland MD Md. , as Weiss notes. Besides APN, other dovish groups at that table include Ameinu, the Religious Action Center and the Union of Reform Judaism, ordering viagra from mexico.

That sounds impressive, since in most not-for-profit groups, Ordering viagra online without prescription, the “Executive Board” is a small, decision-making body, the people who oversee the staff. The "Board of Directors" is generally much larger and has less influence. But the reverse is true in AIPAC’s case: the “Board of Directors” is much smaller and, generic viagra, along with the staff, has the real power.

It didn’t used to be that way. Ordering viagra from mexico, In the 1980s, AIPAC became much more of an autonomous entity that didn’t answer to the American Jewish community. Köpa viagra, Its leaders wanted AIPAC to answer to AIPAC. As a result, the clout of AIPAC's Executive Board –and the Jewish organizations on that board--was gradually and deliberately diminished. This was accomplished by expanding the Executive Board to include large numbers of individual, major donors to AIPAC, cheap viagra overnight delivery. They now make up the majority of the Executive Board, not the Jewish groups.

The main function of the AIPAC Executive Board is to vote on general policy prescriptions during their policy conferences, ordering viagra from mexico. Those broad policies sometimes do help to nudge AIPAC in one direction or another, Kaufen viagra, but their impact is minimal on the day-to-day operations. Members of the Board also get briefings (at least twice a year, I believe) in Washington on AIPAC’s lobbying strategies and priorities.

So APN, as a group, District of Columbia DC D.C. , has little say in what AIPAC does. But even if APN sits at only a few of the power tables, that at least gives it the opportunity to speak truth to power, Viagra generic, and to know what our ideological adversaries are up to. Ordering viagra from mexico, Think of it as the Zionist equivalent of Log Cabin Republicans.

As Mearsheimer and Walt note, when AIPAC has pushed for legislation meant to impose Draconian restrictions on aid to the Palestinian Authority, APN and a few other groups have fought and sometimes succeeded in eliminating at least some of the most odious provisions. For that to happen, Delaware DE Del. , an organization needs to be plugged in. Membership on the Exec. Board does help in that regard. There are many other examples, ordering viagra from mexico. Generic viagra, The only way for APN to “resign” from AIPAC’s Exec. Board is to leave the Conference of Presidents. There may come a time when it makes sense to leave both. That time has not come. There are a lot of reasons for maintaining at least some connections with the Jewish communal establishment.

In fact, Mearsheimer and Walt offer a few different prescriptions towards the end of their book. One of them is “Convincing groups within the lobby to support a different agenda…In practice, this development could involve strengthening more moderate forces that already exist –such as Israel Policy Forum or Americans for Peace Now—or by creating new pro-Israel groups that support different policies.” Either way, little is going to be accomplished unless the liberal wing of the organized Jewish community is mobilized. And nothing is going to be accomplished by taking cheap shots at groups like APN.

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Tuesday, October 9th, 2007

Please check out my new screed in Huffington Post Purchase viagra online, , in which I find myself objecting to one (just one, I promise) of the accusations that are commonly hurled at Doug Feith and his fellow preemptive war fetishists. I spent a long time trying to figure out how to say what needed to be said, which is one reason why I haven't posted here in awhile. Comments would be welcome either here or at HuffPo, Indiana IN Ind. , where I assume 95% of the commentators will be furious at me.
-----------------------------------------

Jewish Neocons Are Dead Wrong, Viagra cheap, Not Disloyal

There are few Americans whose ideas offend me more than Douglas Feith, the former undersecretary of defense who played a major role in planning and promoting the invasion of Iraq. I joined demonstrations to try to stop that invasion and am appalled that the preemptive war fetishists now have their sites set on Iran. But I believe Feith, Cheney aide David Wurmser and other Jewish war planners have gotten a raw deal from those who accuse them of putting Israel's interests ahead of America's, purchase viagra online.

The dual loyalty accusation has become conventional wisdom in the anti-Israel neighborhoods of the blogosphere and has been given academic respectability by John Mearsheimer and Steven Walt, generic viagra. In their new book, as in their original essay, Connecticut CT Conn. , the two profs report that in 2002, "Ha'aretz columnist Akiva Eldar warned that Feith and [Richard] Perle 'are walking a fine line between their loyalty to American governments...and Israeli interests.'" They note that Iraq war chronicler George Packer believed that "`For Feith and Wurmser, the security of Israel was probably the prime mover'" when they planned the war.

Elsewhere, Idaho ID , Juan Cole once opined, "Having a Likudnik as the number three man in the Pentagon is a nightmare for American national security, Acheter viagra bon marché, since Feith could never be trusted to put U.S. interests over those of Ariel Sharon."

Those are very serious allegations, tantamount to accusing government officials of outright treason. Purchase viagra online, Whoever makes them should have incontrovertible evidence. What the accusers have is circumstantial and flimsy, order viagra online cheap. M&W note Feith's connections with "hardline" Israeli groups, his op-eds supporting Israeli settlers and the infamous paper, Generic viagra, "A Clean Break," which war-for-Israel theorists claim is their smoking gun.

Feith, Perle and Wurmser are said to have co-authored "A Clean Break" for Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu in 1997 [Feith claims Wurmser is the sole author], Rabatt kaufen viagra. It calls for Netanyahu to reject the Oslo process, get tough with Syria by launching surgical strikes in Lebanon, Ordering viagra online cheap, and support the Hashemites of Jordan in their power struggle with Syria by, among other things, helping them remove Saddam Hussein from power.

That grab-bag of Machiavellian fantasies certainly captures the spirit of adventurous preemption that characterized the Iraq war, purchase viagra online. So what does that prove, Ohio OH . Neocons favored the unapologetic use of military force and the dismantling of foreign governments in Nicaragua, Grenada, Om viagra online, and the Balkans, not just the Middle East. It's not surprising that some of them recommended the same approach to Netanyahu. That they eventually recommended it to G.W, cheapest viagra in the world. Purchase viagra online, Bush does not necessarily reveal anything about their loyalties or motivations. All it reveals is an obnoxious, wrong-headed worldview. Mississippi MS Miss. , If Venezuela had a lot more oil and Hugo Chavez were more provocative or tyrannical, they would want to depose him, too.

Recent, buy viagra from canada, impassioned chatter about dual loyalty and Mearsheimer and Walt's war-for-Israel theory has drowned out a far more important conversation about this ideology of preemptive militarism and interventionism. It gained powerful adherents right after 9/11, Acheter viagra discount, when Rumsfeld and Cheney decided to go after Saddam, in part because they wanted to send the message that the U.S. would not be content with attacking Afghanistan, purchase viagra online. They wanted terrorists and their paymasters to realize that the U.S. would strike its "enemies" anywhere and anytime it damned well pleased, Utah UT . That had nothing whatsoever to do with Israel; it had everything to do with American machismo.

Still, Order viagra online, reasonable people can and do disagree about the extent to which Israel or its American supporters also factored into the Bush administration's decision to wage war. Purchase viagra online, But it is unreasonable to accuse Feith and his pals of divided loyalties without tangible proof.

Last year, I contacted Feith to get his take on the accusations against him for a magazine article. "I confess to being a conservative, bestill viagra online," he said. "I have a conservative view of how to protect and preserve democracies. North Dakota ND , That affects my views of U.S. interests, British interests, Japan's interests and Israel's interests, purchase viagra online. There are problems inherent in the practice of democratic countries negotiating with anti-democratic entities. The parties to the negotiations differ from each other regarding goals, tactics and constraints, order viagra c.o.d.. This applies to all democratic countries, including Israel."

He added, Acheter viagra, "The only justification for going to war with Saddam was that he was a danger to the United States and our vital interests. The President decided that the risk of Saddam's making biological or eventually nuclear weapons available to terrorists was unacceptable, especially after 9/11."

That was a tragically wrong conclusion. Purchase viagra online, Did Feith and his colleagues also believe the war would benefit Israel. Of course, φτηνές φαρμακείο viagra. Because of that belief, did some of them have an extra edge of enthusiasm for the war. Comprar viagra baratos, Probably. But how can anyone who doesn't reside in Feith's mind assert with smug certainty that Israel was his first, second, fifth or tenth priority when he helped make the case for war, Oregon OR Ore. .

One intriguing judge of what was on his mind is Karen Kwiatkowski, a retired Colonel who worked at the Pentagon's Near East and South Asia desk from 2001 to 2003, purchase viagra online. She has written ferocious criticisms of the Iraq war that mention her discomfort at the "pro-Israel, anti-Arab" attitudes of political appointees in the Defense Department and their connections with the Israeli military. But, in an email interview, she called the dual loyalty charge "simplistic, not fact-based."

"The...preemptive war push is part of neo-conservatism, but not particular to those neoconservatives, like Doug Feith...who also happen to be Jewish, " she wrote. "These folks...made their political bones as anti-communists. The so-called Islamists are seen by neoconservatives as the new communism...Neoconservatives wish to see an 'End of Evil' in a big, loud, decisive bang. Purchase viagra online, We see a kind of predisposition for violent confrontation that isn't as much based on loyalty to Israel, but on something much closer to home."

To be sure, in some American neocons, that predisposition was also shaped in part by connections with hard-line Israelis who had a deep mistrust of Arabs and an abiding faith in military solutions to complex problems. In the 1980s, the dedication to Iron Israel, when combined with fierce anti-Communism and a reflexive contempt for anything advocated by the left, created a noxious mixture of ideas. Right-wing Israelis encouraged certain habits of mind in Americans who eventually joined the Bush Administration, a proclivity for shooting first and worrying about the cameras or the UN later.

Now, some American neocons want to inflict this credo of preemptive violence on Iran before Bush leaves office. It is their credo that makes them dangerous, not misplaced loyalties or a lack of commitment to the U.S.

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Tuesday, September 25th, 2007

Cheapest viagra, On the ADL web site, there is a section called “No Nuclear Iran.” The slogan is ‘Get informed. Get active.” One page is entitled "AHMADINEJAD: IN HIS OWN WORDS.” It provides some of his most “virulent statements” about the Holocaust, Israel, price of viagra, etc. Halvalla viagra apteekki, etc. And they are pretty horrific, disgusting statements, buy viagra, indeed. παραγγείλετε online viagra, Like other Jewish groups, the ADL insists that the man cannot be ignored. It wants to expose him and show why he is wrong and dangerous, cheapest viagra. That is why, Delaware DE Del. , on Sept, αγοράσετε viagra, 5th, it announced:

Over the next few weeks and months, the Anti-Defamation League will roll out a public awareness and advocacy campaign aimed at focusing attention on the gathering threat of a nuclear-armed Iran to Israel, billig viagra apotek, the Middle East and the world

With the slogan, Order viagra no rx, "No Nuclear Iran," the campaign focuses on Iran's clear and present threat to Israel, America and the global community through high-profile eye-catching posters, Georgia GA Ga. , advertisements in national and community newspapers, Illinois IL Ill. , and other awareness initiatives using e-mail and the Internet to spread the word.

Isn’t that precisely what Columbia University President Lee Bollinger tried to do yesterday, when he harshly criticized Ahmadinejad just before the Iranian President delivered a speech at Morningside Heights. Wasn’t that an "awareness initiative?” And since the denunciations came from a university president, Kentucky KY Ky. , in a confrontation that was broadcast all over the world, αγοράζουν φτηνά viagra, didn't they have more credibility and impact than arguments made by American Jewish activists, i.e., the usual suspects, discount viagra.

In the last few days, Köpa billiga viagra, thanks to harsh denunciations of Bollinger by Abe Foxman, other Jewish leaders and a bevy of politicians, the international media were focused primarily on arguments over whether Columbia should have invited the Iranian President, Massachusetts MA Mass. . Those arguments just mitigated the impact of arguments against Ahmadinejad's message. Cheapest viagra, What should have been a story about a brutal dictator became a story about free speech. Buy viagra no rx, In today’s USA Today, Foxman wrote, “Columbia should have taken a stand that some ideas are simply not acceptable.”

But if they are not acceptable enough to be presented at Columbia, buy viagra online, why are they acceptable enough to appear on ADL’s web site, Hawaii HI , where there is a page of quotes without any refutation of any kind.

As Richard Silverstein put it:

Ahmadinejad isn't David Duke or Lyndon LeRouche–he's the president of one of the most important Muslim nations in the world which currently is in danger of embroiling the world in conflict. Hearing him speak and telling him what we think of his ideas as Bollinger will do does nothing to "legitimize" those ideas, viagra sale. Who in the Columbia audience will be persuaded that a nuclear Iran is a good thing??

Philip Weiss makes a similar argument. Even the New York Sun, a harsh critic of just about everything Islamic, praised the Columbia Pres, cheapest viagra. Acheter en ligne viagra, today, calling the event a "teaching moment":

…By our lights Bollinger did pretty darned well. It may have been a mistake to welcome the Iranian demagogue to campus in the first place, ostaa halvalla viagra, but it will be a long time before any figure, Cheap viagra overnight delivery, here or abroad, gives such an eloquent rebuke to Mr. Ahmadinejad's face, Wyoming WY Wyo. .

…Mr. Cheapest viagra, Bollinger spoke to some of the elements in which Jewish particularity is engaged, asserting that Columbia has become a "world center of Jewish studies" and, in partnership with the YIVO Institute, of studies of the Holocaust, which Mr. Billige viagra Apotheke, Bollinger called "the most documented event in human history." He spoke directly, as well, to Iran's assertion that Israel should be "wiped off the map, order viagra without prescription," and noted that Columbia has more than 800 alumni living in the Jewish state. He noted that more than 400 college presidents have joined in his call against the proposed boycott of Israeli scholars and universities. "Do you plan on wiping us off the map, too?" Mr. Bollinger asked. He then addressed Iran's state sponsorship of terror, funding such groups as Hezbollah in Lebanon and Hamas in Gaza and the Palestinian Islamic Jihad.

Sounds like a very affective "awareness initiative” to me. When Philip Weiss, Richard Silverstein and the NY Sun agree on something, it is probably correct. The ADL should put the Bollinger-Ahmadinejad confrontation on its web site.

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